Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.199797 0.225619 0.252957 0.283999 0.318211 0.354707 0.396524
2025-07-13 0.166807 0.201904 0.241211 0.288291 0.342940 0.404155 0.477687
2025-07-20 0.145416 0.186845 0.235516 0.296478 0.370318 0.456365 0.563685
2025-07-27 0.126421 0.171524 0.226852 0.298960 0.389621 0.498939 0.639729
2025-08-03 0.113112 0.161203 0.222523 0.305299 0.412814 0.546325 0.723040
2025-08-10 0.103075 0.153665 0.220480 0.313561 0.438003 0.596575 0.811512
2025-08-17 0.091229 0.142183 0.211837 0.311877 0.449373 0.628922 0.877799
2025-08-24 0.081706 0.132804 0.204948 0.311539 0.461811 0.662470 0.946287
2025-08-31 0.073387 0.124209 0.198218 0.310538 0.472707 0.693794 1.012402
2025-09-07 0.068138 0.119639 0.196756 0.316630 0.493396 0.738818 1.098308
2025-09-14 0.062036 0.113068 0.191665 0.316803 0.505241 0.771613 1.168078
2025-09-21 0.056682 0.107130 0.186969 0.317038 0.516839 0.804107 1.238135
2025-09-28 0.051535 0.101180 0.182005 0.316838 0.528226 0.837446 1.311783
2025-10-05 0.047750 0.097175 0.179807 0.320723 0.545841 0.880393 1.400734
2025-10-12 0.045199 0.095085 0.180543 0.329232 0.570842 0.935045 1.508553
2025-10-19 0.041819 0.091117 0.177761 0.331702 0.586295 0.975737 1.596822
2025-10-26 0.039467 0.088827 0.177646 0.338492 0.608786 1.027739 1.703537
2025-11-02 0.037641 0.087357 0.178821 0.347435 0.635018 1.086237 1.821746
2025-11-09 0.034412 0.082745 0.173956 0.345560 0.643202 1.116673 1.897584
2025-11-16 0.031691 0.078872 0.170121 0.345172 0.653683 1.150874 1.980042
2025-11-23 0.029132 0.075054 0.166070 0.344069 0.662751 1.182918 2.059826
2025-11-30 0.027706 0.073536 0.166297 0.350707 0.685290 1.237299 2.176359
2025-12-07 0.025673 0.070438 0.163174 0.350893 0.696474 1.273332 2.264365